This Week in

FREIGHT MARKET
INTELLIGENCE

WEEKLY MARKETFIT UPDATES: 09.28.2026: DES MOINES, IA REBOUNDS AS HIGH CARRIER REJECTIONS PERSIST DESPITE INBOUND FREIGHT SURPLUS

Each week, MarketFIT™ from Express Freight Finance analyzes real-time freight market data to surface the most favorable and competitive markets across the country.
Rather than reacting to yesterday’s trends or generic load board averages, MarketFIT helps carriers and brokers make smarter decisions in the moment — from where to drive next, to how to price lanes, to when to push for stronger rates.

MarketFIT Platform Overview

With MarketFIT, Express Freight Finance clients gain access to in-depth dashboards covering 125+ U.S. markets and thousands of active freight lanes, all updated continuously to reflect real-world conditions.

If this is your first time here, watch our short overview below featuring Dan Hadley, President & CEO of Express Freight Finance, to see how MarketFIT turns raw data into actionable strategy inside your business.

What This Week’s Data Shows

Below is a snapshot of this week’s live MarketFIT data, highlighting key shifts in demand, capacity, and pricing across top U.S. freight markets.

Freight market conditions in Des Moines, IA improved over the past week, with the Overall Fit Score increasing by 3.78 points to 27.69. The increase marks a recovery from the recent low of 22.07, although the score remains below its early-September peak of 31.88. The rebound points to improving market momentum, but conditions are mixed: carrier rejection activity remains elevated even as more freight enters the market than leaves it. Des Moines serves as a regional freight hub for agricultural products, food processing, manufacturing, and distribution across Iowa and the broader Midwest.

Outbound Tender Volume is at 33.6, compared to 38.8 for Inbound Tender Volume, resulting in a -5.2 Head Haul Index. This negative differential indicates that inbound freight volume exceeds outbound demand, potentially leaving more equipment available for shipments departing Des Moines. That balance may limit broad upward pressure on spot rates and give shippers more options than they would have in a market with a strong outbound surplus. However, equipment arriving in the market may not always be available on the lanes or at the times shippers need it. 

 

The Outbound Tender Reject Index (OTRI) is currently at 29.82, indicating highly elevated carrier rejection activity. An OTRI near 30 suggests that carriers are rejecting roughly three out of every ten contracted outbound tenders, potentially pushing some freight into the spot market. This level of rejection is notable given the negative Head Haul Index. It suggests that, despite the overall inbound surplus, contracted capacity remains difficult to secure for some outbound shipments. 

 

Overall, Des Moines is showing a meaningful week-over-week improvement in its Fit Score, but the underlying indicators do not point to uniform capacity tightening. Inbound volume exceeds outbound volume, while carrier rejections remain high. Shippers may find equipment available in the market yet still face higher costs or service challenges on specific lanes. The next signal to watch is whether rejection activity remains elevated as the Fit Score recovers, or whether the inbound equipment surplus begins to ease outbound capacity pressure.  

Carriers Continue To Find Strong Opportunities With These Lanes:

These lanes continue to offer attractive earning potential as pricing remains elevated across major Northeast, Midwest, and Southeast freight corridors, providing carriers with consistent opportunities in high-demand regional markets.

Load Availability & Lane Rates Intelligence

Zero in on where freight is actually moving right now — highlighting lanes with rising demand, tightening capacity, and improving rate potential.

Use this MarketFIT data to spot pockets of opportunity as they emerge, compare lanes side by side, and prioritize routes that offer the best balance of volume and pricing — before conditions shift.
Below is a snapshot of this week’s load availability and lane rate data across key markets.

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